| 李如忠,汪家权,钱家忠.地下水允许开采量的未确知风险分析[J].水利学报,2004,35(4):0054-0060 |
| 地下水允许开采量的未确知风险分析 |
| Unascertained risk analysis of groundwater allowable withdrawal evaluation |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 地下水 允许开采量 盲数 可信度 未确知风险 |
| 英文关键词: groundwater allowable withdrawal blind number faith degree unascertained risk analysis |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1840 |
| 全文下载次数: 727 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 运用未确知数学理论对地下水资源风险分析问题进行了初步研究。在定义了水文地质参数盲数、未确知风险等基本概念的基础上，尝试性地提出了盲信息下地下水资源补给量计算模型和允许开采量的未确知风险分析方法。实例研究表明，运用未确知数学理论进行地下水允许开采量确定的风险分析研究，所得结果较传统水文地质学方法计算结果更加符合实际情况。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| The unascertained mathematics theory is applied to calculate the groundwater supply and evaluate the groundwater allowable withdrawal. Based on the definitions of hydrogeological parameter blind number and unacertained risk, a model for calculation of groundwater supply according to the blind information is established and a new method for groundwater allowable withdrawal evaluation is proposed. Case study shows that the result obtained from risk analysis accords closer with the real situation than that from traditional hydrogeological evaluation method. |
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