文章摘要
邱元锋,孟戈,WEIYongping,姚凯文.水库移民满意度影响因素实证分析[J].水利学报,2016,47(5):663-673
水库移民满意度影响因素实证分析
An empirical analysis on influencing factors of the reservoir resettlement satisfaction
投稿时间:2015-08-13  
DOI:10.13243/j.cnki.slxb.20150864
中文关键词: 移民满意度  影响因素  logistic回归模型  实证分析
英文关键词: reservoir resettlement satisfaction  influencing factors  logistic model  empirical analysis
基金项目:
作者单位E-mail
邱元锋 武汉大学水利水电学院, 湖北 武汉 430072  
孟戈 武汉工程大学资源与土木工程学院, 湖北 武汉 430073 172246012@qq.com 
WEIYongping 墨尔本大学澳大利亚中国水资源研究中心, 墨尔本 VIC3051  
姚凯文 华北电力大学可再生能源学院, 北京 102206  
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中文摘要:
      以湖北丹江口水库(以供水为主,南水北调源头水库)、湖南涔天河水库(以灌溉为主)、四川亭子口水库(以防洪为主)这3个不同类型的水库移民样本户为案例,通过农户访谈和问卷调查,分别抽样1 031户、697户和683户。以移民满意度为因变量,以移民户特征、移民家庭收入支出情况、移民生产条件、移民生活条件、社会条件、资源条件和环境条件等7大类32个指标为自变量,运用Logistic回归模型,对不同库区水库移民满意度及其影响因素进行了实证分析,提出以少儿抚养比、老年抚养比、家庭经营性纯收入、工资性收入、转移性纯收入、财产性收入、可灌溉比例、耕地半径、人均住房面积、人均水资源量、绿地覆盖率和水土流失率等指标内容,更加全面地体现影响移民满意度的关键因素,结果可以反映出移民满意度在不同类型水库移民中的差异。
英文摘要:
      This paper explains in detail data and sample composition by interview survey and questionnaire investigation of 1031 immigrant households in Danjiangkou reservoir (which supplies water primarily), 697 immigrant households in Centianhe reservoir (which irrigates primarily), 683 immigrant households in Tingzikou reservoir (which prevents flood primarily). This paper formulates the Logistic model with reservoir resettlement satisfaction as dependent variable, and with immigrants' characteristics, family income and disbursement, production conditions, living conditions, social conditions, resources conditions, environmental conditions as independent variables. This paper uses the Logistic model to analyze the factors which may affect reservoir resettlement satisfaction, and innovatively presents some evaluation index such as children's dependency ratio, old-age dependency ratio, household business income, salary income, transfer income etc. This paper more fully reveals the key influence factors and the differences on reservoir resettlement satisfaction in different types of reservoir resettlement. The study confirmed that variables of immigrants' family income such as“per capita net income”, immigrants' production conditions such as“quality of cultivated land”, immigrants' living conditions such as“infrastructure” and immigrants' social conditions such as “the implementation of immigration policy” in the three reservoir models are the most important factors that affect the immigrant satisfaction. Considering the practical implications of this research, identifying factors determining immigrant satisfaction with reservoir resettlement relocation experience could be useful for policymakers designing immigration programmes.
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