| 钟勇,刘慧,田富强,林木.跨界河流合作中的囚徒困境与合作进化的实现途径[J].水利学报,2016,47(5):685-692 |
| 跨界河流合作中的囚徒困境与合作进化的实现途径 |
| Prisoner dilemma in transboundary river cooperation and the way towards evolution of cooperation |
| 投稿时间：2015-10-14 |
| DOI：10.13243/j.cnki.slxb.20151078 |
| 中文关键词: 跨界河流 互惠合作 囚徒困境 合作进化 |
| 英文关键词: transboundary river reciprocal cooperation prisoner dilemma evolution of cooperation |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(U1202232) |
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| 摘要点击次数: 2137 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 伴随人口增长和气候变化,水资源的稀缺性日益突出,跨界河流的水资源开发与利用越来越成为国家和地区之间既敏感又棘手的难题。跨界河流水资源的激烈争夺符合“囚徒困境”的博弈情势,本文探讨了将互惠策略应用于解决跨界河流囚徒困境问题的思路,论证水资源互惠合作的可行性和必要条件。以非洲尼罗河为例,分析了跨界河流水资源合作存在的挑战和实现互惠合作的途径;以北美哥伦比亚河为例,分析了跨界河流水资源开发利用中实现合作进化的可行性。案例分析表明,跨界河流水资源的合理开发不仅使上下游国家共同受益,而且是促进流域内利益相关方在政治和经济等领域实现合作进化的重要媒介。互惠策略的成功实践对于制定我国与跨界河流利益相关国家水资源领域的合作政策具有借鉴意义。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| In the context of population growth and climate change, the scarcity of water resources has being more prominent,making development and utilization of transboundary river an internationally and regionally sensitive and intractable problem. The competition over transboundary river water resources is a“Prisoner Dilemma”situation. This paper explored the way of applying reciprocity theory on untacking Prisoner Dilemma in transboundary river cooperation, and discussed its feasibility and prerequisites. The case of Nile River in Africa was studied to analyze the challenges in transboundary river cooperation, and then the way towards evolution of cooperation was proposed. The Columbia River in North America was taken to exemplify the way towards evolution of cooperation on transboundary river cooperation. The results show that reasonable exploitation of transboundary river could not only increase common benefit of upstream and downstream states, but also promote the evolution of international cooperation in political and economic areas. Successful practice of reciprocity theory provides reference for cooperation policy making in water resources area between China and neighboring countries. |
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