Page 44 - 2024年第55卷第2期
P. 44
[32] 王婷,游进军,杨益.浅析国土空间规划体系下水资源刚性合理需求[J].中国水利,2020(21):23 - 25.
[33] HASSANW,MANZOORT,MUHAMMAD A.Improvingequityindemand - drivenirrigationsystemsthrougha
rights - preservingwaterallocationmechanism[J].AgriculturalWaterManagement,2023,287:108443.
[34] 鲁帆,王利娜,朱厚华.基尼系数在 调 水 水 资 源 分 配 中 的 应 用 研 究 [J].人 民 长 江,2012,43(5):19 -
21 ,105.
[35] 敬莉,王宇.人口与产业空间分布的匹配性探析———基于新疆 区 域 差 异 视 角 [J].新 疆 财 经,2018(2):
62 - 71.
[36] 郭琛,付笑甜,潘美莹,等.河南省就业人口与 产 业 的 空 间 分 布 关 系 及 演 化 规 律 [J].统 计 理 论 与 实 践,
2020(5):54 - 64.
[37] 尚文绣,尚弈,严登明,等.基于模糊逻辑的黄河流域水安全综合评价方法研究 [J].水 利 学 报,2022,
53(3):369 - 378.
Studyon“waterdominatesdevelopment”basedonequityandefficiencyI:
methodologyandmodel
YOUJinjun,JIALing,YANGZhaohui,WANGLin,WANGTing
(ChinainstituteofwaterresourcesandHydropowerResearch,StateKeyLaboratoryofSimulationandRegulationof
WaterCycleinRiverBasin,Beijing 100038,China)
Abstract:Aimingattheproblemsin implementation ofwaterresourcesconstraint, theconceptof“water
dominatesdevelopment ”isinterpretedunderprincipleofscalecontrolandcoordination.Byidentifyingtheinternal
relationshipbetweenwaterandthefouraspectsof “human,industry,land,andurban”,thecontrolindicators
andcoordinationoptimizationcriteriafor“Waterdominatesdevelopment”areproposedas“FourDeterminations”.
Ananalyticalapproachisproposedincludingindicatoridentificationanalysis ,coordinatedoptimizationcalculation,
developmentqualityevaluation,andcontrolmeasures.Thecoordinationoptimizationcriteriaandconstraintrela
tionshipsfor “FourDeterminations”areclarifiedbasedontheprinciplesof“respectingthestatusquo,ensuring
basicneeds ,efficiency - driving,andregionalbalance”.Amulti - objectiveoptimizationmodelisestablishedto
driveefficiencyandachieveregionalbalance ,withconstraintsofwateravailabilityandallocationrelationships.
Themodelselectsthemaximum percapitaGDPastheeconomicgoaltoachieveefficiencydrivenprinciples ,so
thatlimitedwatersupplycansupportgreateroutputbenefits.Theotherobjectiveisdegreeofmatchingbetween
populationandindustrialdistributionasthesocialgoal,sothatregionaleconomicdevelopmentdifferencescanbe
narrowedtoensurethedevelopmentfairness.Bysettingconstraintstoensuretherigiddemandforstrategicdevelop
ment ,controllingthereasonablerangeofregionalwaterallocationandeconomicgrowth,theoverallresultsofin
dustrialdevelopmentcoordinationandwateroptimizationallocationareobtained.Inresponsetothe “FourDetermi
nations ”plan,evaluationindicatorsareselectedfromfouraspects:developmentlevel,coordination,efficiency,
andecology.Anevaluationindicatorsystemandevaluationmethodareconstructedtoadapttohigh - qualitydevel
opmentgoals ,andcontrolmeasuresthatcanimplementthe“Waterdominatesdevelopment”controldirectionare
proposed.
Keywords:waterresourcesconstraints;waterdominatesdevelopment;waterallocation;multi - objectiveoptimi
zation ;wateruseefficiency;comprehensiveevaluation
(责任编辑:韩 昆)
— 1 6 —
6