Page 12 - 水利学报2021年第52卷第6期

表 3 长江经济带 2008—2017 年水资源韧性勾股模糊数

指标 2008 年 2009 年 2010 年 2011 年 2012 年 2013 年 2014 年 2015 年 2016 年 2017 年
c 1 (0.524,0.476)(0.521,0.479)(0.519,0.481)(0.516,0.484)(0.513,0.487)(0.512,0.488)(0.509,0.491)(0.507,0.493)(0.503,0.497)(0.501,0.499)
c 2 (0.522,0.478)(0.541,0.459)(0.154,0.846)(0.608,0.392)(0.486,0.514)(0.582,0.418)(0.669,0.331)(0.597,0.403)(0.463,0.537)(0.677,0.323)
c 3 (0.705,0.295)(0.426,0.574)(0.435,0.565)(0.233,0.767) (0.57,0.43) (0.806,0.194)(0.673,0.327)(0.778,0.222)(0.806,0.194)(0.767,0.233)
c 4 (0.613,0.387)(0.646,0.354)(0.694,0.306)(0.733,0.267) (0.76,0.24) (0.788,0.212)(0.803,0.197)(0.806,0.194) (0.81,0.19) (0.813,0.187)
c 5 (0.588,0.412)(0.641,0.359)(0.643,0.357)(0.645,0.355)(0.638,0.362)(0.631,0.369)(0.612,0.388) (0.64,0.36) (0.602,0.398) (0.62,0.38)
c 6 (0.504,0.496)(0.445,0.555)(0.564,0.436)(0.417,0.583)(0.543,0.457)(0.451,0.549)(0.517,0.483) (0.54,0.46) (0.61,0.39) (0.502,0.498)
c 7 (0.787,0.213)(0.685,0.315)(0.821,0.179)(0.624,0.376)(0.808,0.192)(0.687,0.313)(0.792,0.208)(0.808,0.192)(0.835,0.165) (0.74,0.26)
(0.45,0.55) (0.411,0.589)(0.387,0.613)(0.422,0.578)(0.416,0.584)(0.469,0.531)(0.544,0.456)(0.521,0.479)(0.532,0.468)(0.518,0.482)
c 8
c 9 (0.467,0.533)(0.431,0.569)(0.443,0.557)(0.426,0.574)(0.443,0.557)(0.434,0.566)(0.433,0.567)(0.439,0.561)(0.452,0.548)(0.431,0.569)
c 10 (0.46,0.54) (0.493,0.507)(0.539,0.461)(0.579,0.421)(0.607,0.393)(0.627,0.373)(0.658,0.342)(0.686,0.314) (0.71,0.29) (0.731,0.269)
c 11 (0.493,0.507)(0.557,0.443)(0.526,0.474)(0.528,0.472)(0.551,0.449)(0.605,0.395)(0.638,0.362)(0.692,0.308)(0.741,0.259)(0.785,0.215)
(0.18,0.82) (0.2,0.8) (0.253,0.747)(0.385,0.615)(0.433,0.567)(0.484,0.516)(0.581,0.419)(0.673,0.327)(0.712,0.288)(0.744,0.256)
c 12
c 13 (0.681,0.319)(0.568,0.432)(0.738,0.262)(0.447,0.553) (0.45,0.55) (0.521,0.479)(0.529,0.471)(0.555,0.445)(0.604,0.396)(0.666,0.334)
c 14 (0.351,0.649)(0.426,0.574)(0.439,0.561)(0.453,0.547)(0.465,0.535)(0.521,0.479)(0.566,0.434)(0.653,0.347)(0.676,0.324)(0.741,0.259)
c 15 (0.624,0.376)(0.432,0.568) (0.78,0.22) (0.83,0.17) (0.519,0.481)(0.416,0.584)(0.373,0.627)(0.393,0.607)(0.213,0.787)(0.201,0.799)
c 16 (0.309,0.691) (0.39,0.61) (0.384,0.616) (0.43,0.57) (0.482,0.518)(0.535,0.465)(0.594,0.406) (0.65,0.35) (0.691,0.309)(0.744,0.256)
c 17 (0.738,0.262)(0.751,0.249)(0.768,0.232)(0.781,0.219)(0.791,0.209)(0.789,0.211) (0.79,0.21) (0.793,0.207)(0.801,0.199)(0.803,0.197)
(0.55,0.45) (0.601,0.399)(0.607,0.393)(0.611,0.389)(0.614,0.386)(0.632,0.368)(0.633,0.367)(0.634,0.366)(0.642,0.358)(0.648,0.352)
c 18
表 4 长江经济带 2008—2017 水资源韧性指标权重
抵抗性指标 恢复性指标 适应性指标
指标 权重 指标 权重 指标 权重
0.030 0.075 0.076
c 1 c 7 c 13
0.055 0.063 0.045
c 2 c 8 c 14
0.077 0.064 0.047
c 3 c 9 c 15
c 4 0.051 c 10 0.051 c 16 0.052
c 5 0.060 c 11 0.040 c 17 0.055
0.054 0.059 0.045
c 6 c 12 c 18
表 5 长江经济带水资源韧性-各指标的正理想点和负理想点

指标 负理想点 正理想点 指标 负理想点 正理想点 指标 负理想点 正理想点
c 1 (0.235,0.765) (0.786,0.214) c 7 (0.168,0.832) (0.85,0.15) c 13 (0.151,0.849) (0.513,0.487)
c 2 (0.15,0.85) (0.85,0.15) c 8 (0.15,0.85) (0.826,0.174) c 14 (0.192,0.808) (0.85,0.15)
(0.15,0.85) (0.85,0.15) (0.15,0.85) (0.832,0.168) (0.15,0.85) (0.85,0.15)
c 3 c 9 c 15
(0.403,0.597) (0.838,0.163) (0.174,0.826) (0.85,0.15) (0.187,0.813) (0.85,0.15)
c 4 c 10 c 16
(0.216,0.784) (0.85,0.15) (0.2,0.8) (0.85,0.15) (0.598,0.402) (0.834,0.166)
c 5 c 11 c 17
(0.154,0.846) (0.85,0.15) (0.15,0.85) (0.814,0.186) (0.182,0.818) (0.85,0.15)
c 6 c 12 c 18
现逐年提升的趋势，但是上海、浙江和湖南等省区的抵抗性出现了严重的下降。其中上海市下滑最
为严重，由于水资源禀赋较差，且人口密度持续增加，水资源系统抵抗性逐年下降。上海市人口的
持续增长和工业化水平的日益提高，给水资源供需关系和水资源可持续利用等带来了冲击。图 3（c）
展示了恢复性的稳定增长态势，但江西等省区在 2016—2017 年出现了急剧下降，其中 2017 年人均水
资源量同比下降了 26%，但工业用水量却增加了 52%；根据图 3（d）可知，云南、贵州、安徽和湖南
等省区的适应性水平得到了明显的提升，而江苏、上海和浙江等省区则处于较低水平。各省可根据
自身实际情况，因地制宜，精准施策，制定相应的水资源系统韧性调控策略。

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